TOP CARD · the chase
Featured card in pool
$1,532
the advertised prize you’re chasing
Observed EV+EV but top-heavy
$60.57
95% CI $22–$100 · Renaiss states $52
Median pull
$45
P(profit)
43%
Best pull
$635
Worst pull
$27
Observed EV vs Renaiss’ stated EV
observed mean stated EV
Illustrative trend around the current values — not a real time series.
Value distribution (× rip)
<0.25×
0.25–0.5×
0.5–1×
1–2×
2–5×
5×+
Observed odds by tier
S
3%$635.10
C
97%$40.76
Last 30 pulls — sorted by value
S13.2×
$635
C1.1×
$55
C1.1×
$52
C1.1×
$51
C1.1×
$51
C1.1×
$51
C1.1×
$51
C1.0×
$50
C1.0×
$50
C1.0×
$49
C1.0×
$49
C1.0×
$49
C1.0×
$49
C1.0×
$48
C1.0×
$47
C0.9×
$42
C0.9×
$41
C0.8×
$40
C0.8×
$39
C0.8×
$36
C0.8×
$36
C0.6×
$29
C0.6×
$28
C0.6×
$27
C0.6×
$27
C0.6×
$27
C0.6×
$27
C0.6×
$27
C0.6×
$27
C0.6×
$27
Historical snapshot — this is a perpetual pool, so these exact cards may have rotated out. Estimates, not verified facts.