TOP CARD · the chase
Featured card in pool
$2,415
the advertised prize you’re chasing
Observed EVLeans +EV
$94.46
95% CI $84–$105 · Renaiss states $95
Median pull
$86
P(profit)
47%
Best pull
$147
Worst pull
$55
Observed EV vs Renaiss’ stated EV
observed mean stated EV
Illustrative trend around the current values — not a real time series.
Value distribution (× rip)
<0.25×
0.25–0.5×
0.5–1×
1–2×
2–5×
5×+
Observed odds by tier
uncommon
47%$121.76
common
53%$70.58
Last 30 pulls — sorted by value
uncommon1.7×
$147
uncommon1.6×
$143
uncommon1.6×
$142
uncommon1.6×
$141
uncommon1.6×
$141
uncommon1.6×
$138
uncommon1.4×
$125
uncommon1.3×
$113
uncommon1.2×
$109
uncommon1.2×
$108
uncommon1.2×
$104
uncommon1.2×
$104
uncommon1.1×
$99
uncommon1.0×
$92
common1.0×
$86
common1.0×
$86
common1.0×
$84
common0.9×
$82
common0.9×
$79
common0.9×
$79
common0.9×
$76
common0.8×
$74
common0.8×
$69
common0.8×
$68
common0.7×
$61
common0.7×
$59
common0.7×
$58
common0.7×
$58
common0.7×
$58
common0.6×
$55
Historical snapshot — this is a perpetual pool, so these exact cards may have rotated out. Estimates, not verified facts.